Avellino vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
19%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 0
FCC
59%
28%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRI
56%
28%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
PIS
2 - 1
AVE
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 1
USF
63%
25%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
REG
2 - 0
CAG
38%
31%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
LIC
1 - 0
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
REG
0 - 0
PIS
26%
32%
41%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
REG
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
REG
2 - 0
ASS
42%
30%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |