Avellino vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 0
AVE
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AVE
3 - 1
SSS
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
TAR
30%
30%
40%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 1
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ACL
2 - 1
AVE
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACP
5 - 0
TRI
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
ACP
66%
22%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SIR
3 - 0
ACP
65%
22%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 2
BV5
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
FER
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |