Avellino vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
AVE
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCV
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 0
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 0
PIS
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 3
FCV
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 3
ASS
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
ASS
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
USF
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
ASS
44%
28%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |