Avellino vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
REG
1 - 0
AVE
60%
24%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
BOL
4 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 3
PAL
48%
29%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
SAL
0 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
VER
6 - 1
CES
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
CES
1 - 2
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
REG
1 - 0
CES
49%
28%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
CES
3 - 1
GEN
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |