Avellino vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
29.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1992 |
LEC
3 - 1
AVE
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
AVE
2 - 1
PAL
43%
30%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ASL
3 - 1
AVE
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVE
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
AVE
2 - 1
MES
39%
30%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
PAD
1 - 0
CES
47%
29%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
CES
3 - 0
TAR
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
ANC
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |