Avellino vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
29%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
AVE
2 - 1
VAR
41%
30%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
4 - 1
AVE
50%
29%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
COM
2 - 1
AVE
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
AVE
0 - 0
TER
46%
30%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
AVE
2 - 1
LEC
41%
31%
29%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
47%
29%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |