Avellino vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
AVE
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
SSS
0 - 0
AVE
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
AVE
2 - 0
ATL
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 2
SPA
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
USF
1 - 1
AVE
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARZ
58%
27%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
ARZ
0 - 0
REG
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
VER
2 - 0
ARZ
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 1
USA
58%
26%
17%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PAR
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |