US Alessandria Sub 19 vs Cittadella Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
16º
16º
26
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ABL
3 - 0
USA
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
COM
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
REG
0 - 0
USA
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
USA
0 - 2
UDI
40%
22%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 1
USA
56%
20%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CIT
2 - 1
REG
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
CIT
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
CIT
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 1
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VIC
1 - 2
CIT
68%
17%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |