US Alessandria vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
USF
6 - 1
USA
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 2
USA
24%
27%
50%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
USA
0 - 4
FCC
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USA
1 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
10%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
REN
0 - 2
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
USP
58%
23%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 3
ACD
35%
28%
38%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACD
1 - 0
VIN
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RIM
2 - 1
ACD
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |