US Alessandria vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
USA
3 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 0
USA
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 2
USA
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
USA
1 - 0
USF
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
USA
0 - 0
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1963 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIC
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
VIC
0 - 1
TOR
47%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
CAT
1 - 0
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |