US Alessandria vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1965 |
REG
3 - 0
USA
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
VNZ
4 - 0
USA
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
USA
1 - 0
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
PAR
2 - 1
USA
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
USA
1 - 1
BRE
38%
30%
32%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
TRI
0 - 1
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
VER
1 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
TRI
2 - 0
PRO
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
BRE
2 - 0
TRI
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
TRI
0 - 2
NAP
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |