FC Alessandria vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SAL
2 - 0
USA
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
USA
2 - 3
SPE
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 1
USA
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
USA
0 - 0
BRE
54%
22%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
REG
3 - 1
USA
68%
16%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
USC
2 - 3
FAN
70%
17%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
UNI
1 - 0
USC
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
USC
2 - 2
REG
40%
24%
37%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
3 - 0
USC
63%
19%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
USC
2 - 0
PRO
81%
12%
8%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | -1 |