US Alessandria vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
USA
4 - 2
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 0
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1954 |
USA
0 - 0
PRO
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
CAT
4 - 0
USA
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ACM
4 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
FAN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 1
TRE
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
TRE
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |