US Alessandria vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
FIO
7 - 1
USA
78%
13%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
USA
0 - 0
TOR
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
USA
1 - 1
SAM
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
INT
1 - 0
USA
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
BOL
4 - 0
USA
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
SPA
4 - 0
TRI
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
JUV
1 - 1
SPA
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 3
SPA
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SPA
0 - 0
VIC
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |