US Alessandria vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BV5
4 - 2
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
USA
2 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
REN
0 - 0
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
USA
1 - 1
RIM
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
USA
0 - 0
SPA
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
SAN
41%
28%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPA
34%
26%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAS
0 - 3
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
FCC
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |