FC Alessandria vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
USA
0 - 2
VIC
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 0
USA
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ATP
2 - 0
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
FAN
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 2
MOD
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
PAV
3 - 0
SAL
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
FAN
0 - 0
SAL
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
SAL
2 - 1
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ATP
5 - 3
SAL
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |