FC Alessandria vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
ACM
1 - 1
USA
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
USA
2 - 2
GEN
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
BRE
1 - 0
USA
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
TOR
4 - 1
USA
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
USA
1 - 1
MOD
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 1
LEO
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
TRI
2 - 0
ROM
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
ROM
4 - 2
MOD
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
BRE
3 - 2
ROM
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
ACM
0 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |