FC Alessandria vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 0
USA
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
LEC
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
PIS
20%
25%
56%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
USA
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PRG
0 - 0
USC
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
NUO
1 - 2
PRG
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PRG
3 - 0
FRO
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
PRG
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PRG
0 - 1
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |