US Alessandria vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
USA
2 - 0
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
USF
4 - 0
USA
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
USA
1 - 2
BRE
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
PAL
0 - 0
USA
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
COS
0 - 1
USA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAR
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAL
42%
30%
28%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAG
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAD
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |