US Alessandria vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
USA
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
USA
3 - 2
LEC
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
SSS
0 - 0
USA
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 0
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ASS
3 - 0
USA
59%
22%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
BAR
38%
31%
32%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 0
FCC
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
VER
0 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
PAD
2 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 2
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |