FC Alessandria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 1
USA
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
USA
4 - 1
OLB
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NUO
0 - 0
USA
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PIS
1 - 1
USA
35%
27%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
USA
3 - 2
SSS
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 1
GER
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 0
ASL
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CTT
3 - 1
NOV
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 0
NOV
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 1
GEL
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |