FC Alessandria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 1
USA
51%
27%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
USA
0 - 2
PIA
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
USA
0 - 3
CUN
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 1
USA
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 1
USA
66%
22%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
ASL
68%
20%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIS
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
PON
0 - 0
NOV
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
GOZ
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |