US Alessandria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
COM
4 - 2
USA
44%
27%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
LAZ
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 1
USA
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
USA
0 - 0
PRO
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
NOV
2 - 1
BRE
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
NOV
2 - 1
NAP
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ACP
2 - 2
NOV
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
NOV
3 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
PAR
2 - 3
NOV
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |