FC Alessandria vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
USA
3 - 1
CAT
68%
17%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 3
USA
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
SAM
4 - 0
USA
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
USA
2 - 2
LAZ
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
TRI
2 - 1
USA
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
NAP
4 - 0
PRO
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
NAP
5 - 0
ASL
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 0
NAP
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |