FC Alessandria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
25.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
VER
1 - 1
USA
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
USA
0 - 2
FCC
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
USA
4 - 1
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 0
USA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
USA
0 - 1
TOR
30%
30%
40%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 2
MOD
48%
29%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPA
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |