FC Alessandria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 0
USA
59%
21%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
BOL
4 - 0
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
BRE
3 - 1
USA
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
LEO
4 - 3
USA
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
INT
3 - 0
USA
79%
13%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 2
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
VNZ
2 - 3
MOD
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
INT
2 - 0
MOD
74%
16%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
MOD
5 - 1
TRI
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
70%
17%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |