US Alessandria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
USA
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
USA
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
23%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
USA
0 - 2
VER
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
FCC
3 - 1
USA
58%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
SAV
0 - 0
MES
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
MES
1 - 1
PIS
58%
25%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
MES
2 - 0
GEN
40%
31%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
PAD
0 - 1
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
MES
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |