FC Alessandria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
LIV
2 - 1
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
USA
1 - 2
UNI
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
USA
1 - 1
CAG
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
ASS
1 - 0
USA
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
USA
1 - 2
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
UNI
4 - 0
MES
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
MES
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
MES
1 - 3
UDI
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
BRE
1 - 3
MES
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
CAG
3 - 2
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -2 |