US Alessandria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
COM
0 - 0
USA
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PRO
3 - 2
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ACM
3 - 2
USA
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
VER
3 - 2
USA
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
PRO
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 0
MES
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 1
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |