FC Alessandria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
LAZ
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 1
USA
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
USA
0 - 0
PRO
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
REG
1 - 1
USA
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
NAP
4 - 3
USA
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
GEN
4 - 2
ASL
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
MOD
4 - 0
ASL
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ASL
1 - 1
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
VER
1 - 1
ASL
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |