FC Alessandria vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1975 |
REG
2 - 1
USA
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
USA
2 - 0
SSS
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
USF
3 - 3
USA
69%
21%
10%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
USA
2 - 2
PES
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
PAL
2 - 1
USA
65%
24%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
USC
1 - 1
LIV
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 1
REG
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
LIV
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |