US Alessandria vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1950 |
VIC
2 - 1
USA
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 1
TAR
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 0
SIR
71%
16%
13%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
EMP
1 - 1
USA
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
USA
1 - 2
UDI
31%
23%
47%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 2
REG
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
UNI
1 - 1
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
VIC
2 - 1
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
3 - 1
ACP
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |