US Alessandria vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
NAP
3 - 2
USA
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
USA
2 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
LAZ
3 - 1
USA
62%
20%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
TRI
0 - 1
USA
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
USA
2 - 0
INT
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
LIV
5 - 0
CAS
78%
14%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
PRO
0 - 0
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
0 - 2
INT
33%
24%
43%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 3
ROM
21%
20%
59%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEO
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |