US Alessandria vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
PAR
0 - 0
USA
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
TRI
0 - 1
USA
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
USA
3 - 2
USF
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
BRE
4 - 0
USA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
USA
0 - 0
PAL
45%
29%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
TOR
2 - 0
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1964 |
JUV
4 - 1
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
GEN
3 - 1
JUV
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
JUV
4 - 2
CAT
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |