FC Alessandria vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
USA
0 - 0
VER
33%
31%
36%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
58%
27%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
USA
3 - 0
TAR
50%
29%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
USA
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
USA
1 - 2
SPA
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 1
GEN
55%
29%
16%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
USF
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOV
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
COM
2 - 0
GEN
58%
28%
15%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
VER
0 - 0
GEN
67%
22%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |