US Alessandria vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 1
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
USA
0 - 0
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
USA
2 - 1
INT
38%
25%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
LAZ
2 - 1
USA
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
USA
3 - 1
VER
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
GEN
0 - 0
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
62%
20%
17%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
GEN
4 - 2
ROM
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 3
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |