US Alessandria vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
PRO
2 - 0
USA
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
USA
1 - 0
ASS
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
LEC
2 - 0
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
USA
1 - 0
NAP
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
VER
1 - 1
USA
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FCC
3 - 1
LIV
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ASS
2 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
PAD
1 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |