US Alessandria vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
USA
2 - 1
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
COM
0 - 0
USA
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PRO
3 - 2
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ACM
3 - 2
USA
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
PRO
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 2
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 1
CAT
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
FAN
2 - 3
CAT
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
CAT
0 - 0
SAL
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |