FC Alessandria vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
BV5
0 - 1
USA
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
USA
1 - 0
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 0
USA
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
USA
2 - 0
PAV
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 3
NOT
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAS
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 0
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 0
SPC
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |