FC Alessandria vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 0
USA
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
USA
0 - 2
ACG
75%
17%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 0
USA
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 0
USA
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
USA
0 - 2
SAV
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACG
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
REN
1 - 2
CAS
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASS
17%
24%
59%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIM
1 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |