FC Alessandria vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
13.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
LAZ
3 - 1
USA
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
TRI
0 - 1
USA
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
USA
2 - 0
INT
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
USA
2 - 3
JUV
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
UNI
1 - 0
USA
37%
25%
39%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
4 - 0
PRO
37%
24%
38%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
2 - 2
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
ROM
3 - 1
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
GEN
9%
15%
76%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |