US Alessandria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
PAV
2 - 0
USA
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
USA
2 - 1
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
COM
0 - 0
USA
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PRO
3 - 2
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
PAD
2 - 2
FAN
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SAL
2 - 1
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PAD
0 - 1
VIC
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |