US Alessandria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1930 |
USA
2 - 1
NAP
29%
21%
50%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
USA
4 - 2
LAZ
31%
22%
48%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
4 - 0
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
ROM
1 - 1
USA
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
USC
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
40%
24%
35%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 0
TOR
21%
20%
60%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
MOD
0 - 2
PAD
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
ROM
18%
19%
63%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAD
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |