US Alessandria vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
REG
3 - 1
USA
68%
16%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
USA
2 - 2
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
USA
3 - 1
CAT
68%
17%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 3
USA
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
SAM
4 - 0
USA
69%
16%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
BRE
5 - 3
EMP
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SPE
2 - 2
BRE
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1947 |
BRE
4 - 1
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |