FC Alessandria vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
USA
3 - 2
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
ROM
3 - 1
USA
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
USA
2 - 0
LAZ
50%
21%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
USA
2 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
FIO
0 - 0
USA
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
BOL
3 - 0
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
74%
16%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOL
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |