FC Alessandria vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
4 - 1
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
USA
1 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
USA
1 - 1
CES
33%
28%
40%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ABN
1 - 1
USA
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ALV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
LIV
0 - 0
SPE
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 2
VAR
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 1
SPE
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
SPE
0 - 1
LEC
67%
19%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |