FC Alessandria vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
ACL
2 - 1
USA
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
USA
0 - 2
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
4 - 1
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
USA
1 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SPA
0 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 2
MOD
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 2
VAR
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |