FC Alessandria vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
USA
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
USA
1 - 0
PRO
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CTT
2 - 1
USA
65%
22%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
USA
4 - 1
REN
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BV5
0 - 0
USA
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 1
BV5
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
PAV
16%
26%
59%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
PAV
24%
23%
52%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAV
2 - 0
PAD
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
PAV
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |