US Alessandria vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 0
USA
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
USA
2 - 1
ACM
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
USA
2 - 2
ASS
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAL
1 - 0
USA
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 2
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 1
MES
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
ACM
7 - 1
PAV
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1955 |
BRE
4 - 0
PAV
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 1
VER
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |