US Alessandria vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
CAT
4 - 0
USA
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MES
1 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
COM
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
55%
23%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
USA
0 - 2
ACM
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAV
3 - 2
MOD
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
FAN
4 - 0
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
PAV
1 - 1
ATP
64%
20%
17%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
COM
2 - 0
PAV
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 2
PRO
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |